Regions

EU/Eurozone

Work undertaken in the last 12 months:

  • Eurogroup-Greece financial negotiations.
  • Financial markets policy.
  • Next steps for Eurozone banking union.
  • Implications of the EU retail financial services agenda within capital markets union.
  • EU regulatory framework for digital business.
  • Prospects for Energy Union.
  • Prospective EU granting of marketing economy status to China.

How multi-speed can Europe be?

Author: 

Carmen
Bell

Email: 
[email protected]
Date: 
24 Mar 2017

As European leaders head to Rome this weekend to contemplate the EU’s future, there is an elephant in the room, and it is not actually Brexit. It is the question of whether the EU is ultimately reaching the zenith of the harmonising push begun with the creation of the single market thirty years ago. The logic of Brussels has always been that unity follows uniformity. One of the more interesting subtexts in Rome will be the idea that one path to unity may be to accept – even encourage – differences.

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Asia

Work undertaken in the last 12 months:

  • Indonesia: regulatory initiatives to develop domestic capital markets.
  • India: 2015 budget and reform of Goods and Services Tax (GST).
  • China: regulatory responses to ongoing mark-up volatility.
  • Iran: prospects for negotiations and sanctions

China, the EU and ‘market economy status’: what happens now?

Author: 

Guillaume
Ferlet

Email: 
[email protected]
12 Dec 2016

Yesterday marked the deadline to solve the issue of China’s market economy status (MES) and yet nothing has changed in the EU rulebook. However, a reform package is on its way and will probably be agreed at some point in 2017. In the meantime, the EU will likely carry on as usual in anti-...

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Russia & CIS

Work undertaken in the last 12 months:

  • Variable impacts of US, EU and Russia sanctions on international investors.
  • Consequences of localisation agenda on supply chains.

Donald Tusk plays Ukrainian trump card

Author: 

Alexander
Smotrov

Email: 
[email protected]
Date: 
25 Nov 2016

Ukraine is probably more vulnerable now than at any point since 2013. And with the election of Donald Trump in the US, the EU has felt the need to explicitly acknowledge Kiev’s anxiety about shifting US focus. 

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Africa

Work undertaken in the last 12 months:

  • Uganda: new prudential regulatory framework for insurance.
  • Evolving regulatory framework for African insurance markets.
  • Prospects for private equity investment in the agricultural sector.

Pravin Gordhan and what happens next in South Africa

Author: 

Matthew
Duhan

Email: 
[email protected]
Date: 
21 Oct 2016

In his time Pravin Gordhan has played many roles: pharmacist; anti-apartheid activist; prisoner; chief taxman; and finance minister not once, but twice. In South Africa’s current political morality play he is cast as the martyr – fending off what many see as politically motivated accusations of fraud from the National Prosecuting Authority (NPA) to prevent him exposing unsavoury dealings between President Jacob Zuma and the Gupta family.

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UK

Work undertaken in the last 12 months:

  • Brexit: the UK/EU referendum.
  • The productivity agenda: thought-leadership on the productivity debate.
  • UK housing policy: investor due diligence in the buy-to-let property market.
  • Competition policy in retail banking.

NICs: lessons from a UK political u-turn

Author: 

Jade
Rickman

Email: 
[email protected]
Date: 
17 Mar 2017

One of the big political stories in the UK this week was the ‘u-turn’ by Chancellor Philip Hammond on his budget proposal to raise National Insurance Contributions (NICs) for the self-employed. The NICs u-turn demonstrated a couple of important things about politics and policymaking at Westminster as the UK prepares for the most complex bout of parliamentary activity in its modern history, namely legislating its way out of the EU.

 

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ASEAN

Work undertaken in the last 12 months:

  • ASEAN insurance markets integration and regulation.
  • Prospects for Indonesian telecoms sectors.
  • Impact of IMDB crisis in Malaysia.
  • Impact of EUTR activation on Indonesian timber industry.

Identity politics and the Jakarta Governor election

Author: 

Anjuli
Gidwani

Email: 
[email protected]
Date: 
24 Feb 2017

The race for the governorship of Jakarta is almost over. The leadership of the capital is arguably the biggest job under the President and a platform for national leadership, and this race is setting the tone for national politics in important ways, so it is worth watching closely.

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Americas

Work undertaken in the last 12 months:

  • USA - TTIP prospects.
  • Brazil - implications of Petrobras scandal.

Silicon Valley’s conflict of interest over Trump

Author: 

Conan
D'Arcy

Email: 
[email protected]
Date: 
15 Feb 2017

In the 2016 Presidential election, Silicon Valley burnished its credentials as a liberal bastion. In the combined counties of San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara and Alameda, 78% of voters supported Hillary Clinton with only 16% voting for Donald Trump. Last week I visited San Francisco and Palo Alto and heard how Silicon Valley and the tech companies it hosts, many Clinton backers, are still digesting the implications of Trump and struggling to decide whether to prioritise political values or commercial pragmatism.

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Multilateral

Work undertaken in the last 12 months:

  • Sectoral impacts of TPP and EU-Japan FTAs.
  • COP21 outcomes and implications.
  • Implications of Iranian P5+1 agreement.
  • Evolution of international carbon disclosure frameworks.

Talking politics in the windy city

Author: 
Date: 
20 Mar 2017

During a trip to Chicago earlier this month, I reflected on the differences between my time in office and the present. Despite economic gains from globalisation, failures in politics and in policy have led to a crisis of confidence in global cooperation.

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